Foreword xxi
Preface xxiii
1 Human Ecology on Spaceship Earth 1
1.0 Introduction 1
1.01 Axiom 1 2
1.02 Axiom 2 5
1.03 Axiom 3 6
1.04 Philosophical Questions for the Quest 9
1.1 Development of Human Ecology 9
1.11 Major Ages in Human History 10
1.12 The Biosphere: ‘‘Spaceship Earth’’ 10
1.13 Limits to Growth 11
1.2 Summary 13
References 14
2 The Unending Quest for Abundant Energy 16
2.0 Historical Perspective 16
2.1 Characteristics of an Industrial Nation 17
2.11 Flow of Abundant Energy 20
2.12 Capital and Income Energy Resources 22
2.2 Exponential Growth Dynamics 24
2.21 Linear Growth 24
2.22 Exponential Growth 25
2.23 Doubling Time 26
2.24 Exponential Growth Scenarios 27
2.25 Calculation of Growth Rates by Regression Analysis 29
2.3 Current Growth in Energy Consumption 31
2.31 Trends in Energy Consumption 31
2.32 Energy Intensity 33
2.33 Projections of Energy Intensities 35
2.34 Projections of Future Primary Energy Consumption 35
2.4 Summary 38
References 38
3 The Fossil Fuel Era 40
3.0 Historical Perspective 40
3.01 Fossil Fuel Consumption in the United States since 1900 41
3.1 Fossil Fuels 42
3.11 Coal 43
3.12 Heating Value of Coal 43
3.13 Crude Oil 44
3.14 Natural Gas 45
3.2 Forecast of U.S. Energy Consumption through 2025 46
3.3 How Long Will Fossil Fuels Last? 48
3.31 Estimation of Fossil Fuel Reserves 48
3.32 The McKelvey Diagram 49
3.33 Production of a Finite Resource 52
3.34 The Logistic Production Curve Method 53
3.4 Growth of Fossil Fuel Demand for Generation of Electricity 59
3.5 Summary 60
References 61
4 Sustainability of Energy Resources 63
4.0 Sustainable Economic Development 63
4.01 Indicators for Sustainable Energy Development 64
4.02 Sustainable Energy Supply 65
4.1 Sustainability of Electric Energy Demand 65
4.11 The Electronic Way of Life 66
4.12 A Continental Superconducting Grid 66
4.13 The Hydrogen Fuel Era 68
4.2 Natural Gas in Sustainable Energy Supply 69
4.21 Petrochemical Use of Natural Gas 70
4.22 Growth of Natural Gas Consumption in the United States 71
4.23 Forecast of Natural Gas Consumption through 2025 73
4.24 Natural Gas Supply and Reserves 73
4.3 Natural Gas Commitment for Electric Power Generation 75
4.4 Sustainability of Natural Gas as an Energy Resource 77
4.5 Nonfossil Energy Resources 80
4.51 Growth of Alternative (Nonfossil) Energy Use 80
4.52 Forecast of Nonfossil Energy Supply 81
4.6 Summary 82
References 83
5 Environmental Impact of Energy Consumption 84
5.0 Historical Perspective 84
5.1 Basics of Environmental Impact 85
5.11 Relationship between Magnitude and Severity 86
5.12 Consequences of Environmental Threat 86
5.13 A Hypothetical Example of Magnitude-Severity Analysis 87
5.2 The Saga of the Greenhouse Effect 90
5.21 Components of the Saga 91
5.3 Local Air Pollution from Automobile Exhaust 101
5.31 Environmental Impact of Smog 103
5.32 Nitrogen Oxides in Photochemical ‘‘Smog’’ 104
5.33 Magnitude-Severity Aspects of Nitrogen Oxides 106
5.4 Value of Air Quality Improvement in Transportation 106
5.5 Some Data for the Los Angeles Air Basin 108
5.6 Summary 109
References 109
6 The Nuclear Energy Era 111
6.0 Historical Perspective 111
6.1 Basic Elements of Nuclear Science 112
6.11 The Atomic Nucleus 113
6.12 Isotopic Composition and Abundance 113
6.13 Atomic Mass 114
6.14 Equivalence of Mass and Energy 115
6.15 Binding Energy 116
6.16 Nuclear Stability 118
6.17 Types of Radioactive Decay 119
6.18 Properties of Radionuclides 120
6.2 Basic Elements of Nuclear Power 121
6.21 Nuclear Fission 122
6.22 Available Energy from Uranium Fuel 123
6.23 Nuclear Power Reactors 125
6.24 The Light-Water Uranium Fuel Cycle 126
6.25 Generation IV Nuclear Reactors 129
6.26 Nuclear Safety 130
6.27 Nuclear Waste 131
6.3 The Oklo Natural Nuclear Reactors on Earth 132
6.4 Thermonuclear Fusion 133
6.5 Summary 135
References 135
7 Renewable Energy Resources 137
7.0 Renewable Energy 137
7.01 Types of Renewable Energy 137
7.02 Consumption of Renewable Energy 138
7.1 Hydroelectric Power 140
7.2 Solar Energy 142
7.21 The Solar Constant 144
7.22 Solar Energy ‘‘Reserves’’ 145
7.23 Solar Electricity 146
7.3 Wind Energy 150
7.31 Wind Power Rate 153
7.32 Wind Turbine Conversion Efficiency 154
7.33 The Wind Energy Resource 156
7.34 Estimated Cost of Wind Power 156
7.4 Biomass Energy 158
7.41 The Solar Biomass Resource 159
7.42 Biomass Conversion Processes 160
7.43 Environmental Aspects of Bioenergy Fuels 161
7.5 Other Renewable Resources 163
7.51 Tidal Energy 163
7.52 Geothermal Energy 164
7.6 Summary 166
References 167
8 Hydrogen as an Energy Carrier 169
8.0 Historical Perspective 169
8.01 Physical Nature of Hydrogen 170
8.02 Chemical Nature of Hydrogen 171
8.03 Energetics of Hydrogen 173
8.1 Hydrogen and Electricity as Parallel Energy Carriers 173
8.11 Why Hydrogen? 173
8.12 Competitive Uses for Hydrogen 174
8.2 The Hydrogen Energy Fuel Cycle 175
8.21 Hydrogen Production 176
8.21a A Wee-Bit of Electrochemistry 177
8.22 Hydrogen Storage 188
8.23 Distribution of Hydrogen 191
8.24 End Uses for Hydrogen Fuel 192
8.25 Cost Factors of Hydrogen Fuel 194
8.3 Summary 196
References 198
9 Hydrogen as a Transportation Fuel 200
9.0 Historical Perspective 200
9.01 Hydrogen Fuel in Aviation 200
9.02 Hydrogen Fuel in Marine Technology 201
9.1 Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Vehicle Transportation 202
9.11 Just What Is a Fuel Cell? 202
9.12 A Wee-Bit of Thermodynamics 204
9.13 Aspects of Hydrogen as a Transportation Fuel 207
9.14 Hydrogen Fuel Vehicles by Application Type 208
9.2 Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Vehicles 209
9.21 Characteristics of Alternative Fuels for Fuel Cells 211
9.22 Methanol as a Fuel for Fuel Cells 212
9.23 Natural Gas as a Transportation Fuel 213
9.3 What More Is Needed? 214
9.4 Summary 215
References 216
10 The Hydrogen Fuel Era 217
10.0 Perspective on an Era 217
10.1 Potential for Air Quality Improvement 218
10.11 Emission Standards 218
10.12 Factors That Affect Vehicle Emissions 220
10.13 History of California Emission Standards 221
10.2 Modeling Health Benefit from Hydrogen Fuel Transportation 222
10.21 Model Development for the Three-City Hydrogen Air Quality Study 223
10.22 The Metropolitan Tokyo Air Quality Study 226
10.3 Electric Energy Requirement for Hydrogen Fuel 230
10.31 Extrapolation of Historical Transportation Fuel Data to 2010 231
10.32 Growth of Demand for Hydrogen Fuel and Electric Energy: 2010–2050 234
10.4 Prospects for the Future of a Sustainable Energy Supply 236
10.41 Potential Distribution of Energy Resources 238
10.42 Possibilities to Resolve the Impasse 240
10.5 Wrap-Up 242
10.6 Summary 242
References 242
