Preface | p. xi |
List of figures | p. xv |
List of tables | p. xix |
List of abbreviations and acronyms | p. xxiii |
About the authors | p. xxxvii |
Globalization and biogeochemical cycles | p. 1 |
Global changes of biogeochemical cycles | p. 1 |
Key aspects of global biogeochemical cycles | p. 1 |
Biogeochemical cycles in land ecosystems | p. 6 |
The regular dependence of water ecosystems on biogeochemical cycles | p. 13 |
Interaction between globalization processes and biogeochemical cycles | p. 15 |
The interplay between nature and society | p. 15 |
Sustainable development and environmental disasters | p. 16 |
Greenhouse gases and climate | p. 17 |
Aerosols and climate | p. 18 |
Climate change, forests, and agriculture | p. 50 |
Observational data for global change | p. 52 |
Globalization and human-induced factors of climate change | p. 57 |
Contradiction between observational data and modeling results | p. 66 |
Long-range transport of aerosols and trace gases | p. 70 |
Global dynamics and biogeochemical cycles | p. 77 |
Globalization, wealth, and human health | p. 86 |
The role of biogeochemical cycles in global ecodynamics | p. 95 |
Sustainability indicators | p. 95 |
Impacts of population growth and development on biogeochemical cycles | p. 102 |
Anthropogenic scenarios and sustainable development | p. 108 |
Fishery scenario | p. 110 |
Scenario of the distribution of soil-plant formation areas | p. 110 |
Investment scenario | p. 112 |
Development scenarios | p. 115 |
Climate scenarios | p. 116 |
Balance between economic growth and social development | p. 119 |
Social responsibility and economic potential | p. 122 |
Biogeochemical cycles and quality of life | p. 124 |
Biological, chemical, and physical indicators of the quality of biogeochemical cycles | p. 129 |
The role of living processes in biogeochemical cycles | p. 131 |
Numerical modeling of global carbon change | p. 135 |
Overview of the global carbon cycle | p. 135 |
Status and perspectives of carbon cycle science | p. 135 |
Global Carbon Project and reality | p. 142 |
A new approach to the study of the global carbon cycle | p. 146 |
Greenhouse effect and natural disasters | p. 150 |
Catalog of biospheric sources and sinks of carbon dioxide | p. 152 |
Biospheric resources and the carbon cycle | p. 157 |
Eutrophication and greenhouse cycling | p. 158 |
A new mechanism for carbon dioxide loss in the geosphere | p. 159 |
Conceptual scheme for a model of the global biogeochemical carbon cycle | p. 160 |
Carbon exchange processes in the atmosphere-ocean system | p. 165 |
World Ocean and carbon cycle | p. 165 |
A zonal model for the carbon cycle in the atmosphere-ocean system | p. 174 |
Carbon cycle in the World Ocean | p. 176 |
The World Ocean as a complex hierarchic system | p. 176 |
Spatial model of the carbon cycle in the ocean | p. 179 |
The organic carbon cycle in the ocean ecosystem | p. 181 |
Carbon exchange processes at the atmosphere-land boundary | p. 188 |
Global carbon cycle model and numerical results | p. 198 |
The role of vegetation in assimilation of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere | p. 198 |
The role of the World Ocean in carbon dioxide assimilation from the atmosphere | p. 202 |
Long-term memory effect in atmospheric CO[subscript 2] concentration | p. 207 |
Modeling the interactive cycles of greenhouse gases and other chemicals | p. 213 |
Biogeochemical cycles and the greenhouse effect | p. 213 |
Globalization of the sulfur cycle | p. 216 |
Globalization of the phosphorus cycle | p. 224 |
Globalization of the nitrogen cycle | p. 227 |
The nitrogen cycle and sustainable development | p. 228 |
Numerical models of the global nitrogen cycle | p. 229 |
Atmospheric components of the nitrogen cycle | p. 232 |
The land surface part of the biospheric nitrogen cycle | p. 236 |
The hydrosphere and its role in the dynamics of the nitrogen cycle | p. 239 |
Anthropogenic factors affecting the biospheric nitrogen cycle | p. 240 |
Biospheric budget of oxygen and ozone in the context of globalization processes | p. 243 |
Oxygen sources and sinks | p. 246 |
Indicators of the status of the ozone layer | p. 247 |
Anthropogenic impacts on the oxygen and ozone cycles | p. 249 |
Numerical model of the global oxygen cycle | p. 259 |
The role of water in the global carbon cycle | p. 260 |
The role of precipitation | p. 260 |
Water budget in the atmosphere-land system | p. 261 |
Water exchange processes in the atmosphere-ocean system | p. 266 |
Numerical model of global water balance | p. 271 |
Carbon cycle and methane | p. 280 |
Monitoring the cycles of chemical substances in the environment | p. 291 |
Observational systems for biogeochemical cycles | p. 291 |
Data and knowledge bases on environmental biogeochemistry | p. 300 |
Algorithms for observational data processing | p. 304 |
A spatiotemporal interpolation algorithm based on the differential approximation method | p. 304 |
Method of self-organizing models | p. 307 |
Harmonic function method | p. 308 |
Method of evolutionary modeling | p. 310 |
Approximate method for the inverse problem solution to identify the parameters of a monitored object | p. 312 |
Randomization algorithm for linear fractional approximation | p. 315 |
Statistical classification of the thermal fields of land cover | p. 316 |
Assessment of algorithm accuracy | p. 319 |
Consistency of remote-monitoring information | p. 319 |
Monitoring and prediction of natural disasters | p. 326 |
Ecodynamics and natural disasters | p. 326 |
Natural disaster as a dynamic category of environmental phenomena | p. 329 |
Search for and detection of natural catastrophes | p. 330 |
Multi-dimensional analysis of interactivity between global ecodynamics and the Arctic Basin | p. 335 |
Key problems facing Arctic Basin study | p. 335 |
The Arctic Basin and its role in global changes | p. 355 |
Arctic Basin pollution problem | p. 360 |
Application of modeling technology to the study of pollutant dynamics in the Arctic seas | p. 363 |
Spatial simulation model of the Arctic ecosystem | p. 363 |
Marine biota block | p. 367 |
Hydrological block | p. 372 |
Pollution block | p. 373 |
Simulation results | p. 375 |
Summary and conclusions | p. 384 |
Interactions in the Arctic system | p. 387 |
The Angara-Yenisey river system simulation model | p. 388 |
In situ measurements | p. 394 |
Experiments using the Angara-Yenisey river system simulation model | p. 400 |
Biocomplexity in the Arctic system | p. 404 |
Biocomplexity indicator | p. 405 |
The biosphere-society system biocomplexity model | p. 407 |
Biocomplexity problem related to fisheries in the Okhotsk Sea | p. 408 |
Carbon cycle dynamics in the Arctic system | p. 411 |
Nature-society system and climate, its interactive component | p. 419 |
Earth's heat balance, and problems facing society | p. 419 |
Natural ecodynamics assessed by observational data | p. 426 |
Reality, suggestions, and fictions | p. 426 |
Natural ecodynamics and biogeochemical cycles | p. 454 |
Global climate change studies | p. 464 |
Regional climate and its prediction | p. 464 |
Global water balance and sustainable development | p. 466 |
Globalization of land use strategies | p. 470 |
Global carbon cycle as an indicator of climate change | p. 472 |
Ecosystem dynamics and change of living conditions | p. 475 |
Socio-economic aspects of ecosystem dynamics | p. 477 |
Present state and prospects for world economic development | p. 479 |
Biogeochemical cycles and energy | p. 479 |
Coal and its role in the future of global energy | p. 482 |
Oil and its role in sustainable development | p. 483 |
Natural gas and economic growth | p. 483 |
Nuclear energy: yes or no | p. 484 |
Prospects and possibility of using hydrogen energy | p. 485 |
Economic development and renewable resources | p. 486 |
Modern society and ecological restrictions | p. 490 |
Global instability | p. 490 |
Correlation between production and consumption | p. 490 |
Systems that are vital for life | p. 494 |
Future analysis of human life | p. 498 |
Ecological crises and disasters | p. 499 |
Essence of the problem | p. 499 |
How natural diasters affect human life | p. 504 |
Natural disasters as an ecodynamics component | p. 505 |
Outlook for the future of global ecodynamics | p. 506 |
Numerical modeling of the dynamics of the nature-society system | p. 509 |
References | p. 515 |
Index | p. 559 |
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