| Causal Models | |
| Statistics, Causality, and Graphs | p. 3 |
| A Century of Denial | p. 3 |
| Researchers in Search of a Language | p. 5 |
| Graphs as a Mathematical Language | p. 8 |
| The Challenge | p. 13 |
| References | p. 14 |
| Causal Conjecture | p. 17 |
| Introduction | p. 17 |
| Variables in a Probability Tree | p. 18 |
| Causal Uncorrelatedness | p. 19 |
| Three Positive Causal Relations | p. 20 |
| Linear Sign | p. 22 |
| Causal Uncorrelatedness Again | p. 26 |
| Scored Sign | p. 27 |
| Tracking | p. 28 |
| References | p. 32 |
| Who Needs Counterfactuals? | p. 33 |
| Introduction | p. 33 |
| Decision-Theoretic Framework | p. 33 |
| Unresponsiveness and Insensitivity | p. 34 |
| Counterfactuals | p. 35 |
| Problems of Causal Inference | p. 36 |
| Causes of Effects | p. 36 |
| Effects of Causes | p. 36 |
| The Counterfactual Approach | p. 37 |
| The Counterfactual Setting | p. 37 |
| Counterfactual Assumptions | p. 38 |
| Homogeneous Population | p. 39 |
| Experiment and Inference | p. 40 |
| Decision-Analytic Approach | p. 43 |
| Sheep and Goats | p. 45 |
| ACE | p. 45 |
| Neyman and Fisher | p. 45 |
| Bioequivalence | p. 46 |
| Causes of Effects | p. 47 |
| A Different Approach? | p. 48 |
| Conclusion | p. 48 |
| References | p. 49 |
| Causality: Independence and Determinism | p. 51 |
| Introduction | p. 51 |
| Conclusion | p. 61 |
| References | p. 63 |
| Intelligent Data Management | |
| Intelligent Data Analysis and Deep Understanding | p. 67 |
| Introduction | p. 67 |
| The Question: The Strategy | p. 68 |
| Diminishing Returns | p. 74 |
| Conclusion | p. 78 |
| References | p. 79 |
| Learning Algorithms in High Dimensional Spaces | p. 81 |
| Introduction | p. 81 |
| SVM for Pattern Recognition | p. 82 |
| Dual Representation of Pattern Recognition | p. 83 |
| SVM for Regression Estimation | p. 84 |
| Dual Representation of Regression Estimation | p. 84 |
| SVM Applet and Software | p. 85 |
| Ridge Regression and Least Squares Methods in Dual Variables | p. 86 |
| Transduction | p. 87 |
| Conclusion | p. 88 |
| References | p. 88 |
| Learning Linear Causal Models by MML Sampling | p. 89 |
| Introduction | p. 89 |
| Minimum Message Length Principle | p. 90 |
| The Model Space | p. 92 |
| The Message Format | p. 93 |
| Equivalence Sets | p. 95 |
| Small Effects | p. 96 |
| Partial Order Equivalence | p. 97 |
| Structural Equivalence | p. 97 |
| Explanation Length | p. 98 |
| Finding Good Models | p. 98 |
| Sampling Control | p. 102 |
| By-products | p. 102 |
| Prior Constraints | p. 102 |
| Test Results | p. 103 |
| Remarks on Equivalence | p. 106 |
| Small Effect Equivalence | p. 106 |
| Equivalence and Causality | p. 107 |
| Conclusion | p. 110 |
| References | p. 110 |
| Game Theory Approach to Multicommodity Flow Network Vulnerability Analysis | p. 112 |
| References | p. 118 |
| On the Accuracy of Stochastic Complexity Approximations | p. 120 |
| Introduction | p. 120 |
| Stochastic Complexity and Its Applications | p. 122 |
| Approximating the Stochastic Complexity in the Incomplete Data Case | p. 124 |
| Empirical Results | p. 125 |
| The Problem | p. 125 |
| The Experimental Setting | p. 127 |
| The Algorithms | p. 129 |
| Results | p. 130 |
| Conclusion | p. 132 |
| References | p. 134 |
| AI Modelling for Data Quality Control | p. 137 |
| Introduction | p. 137 |
| Statistical Approaches to Outliers | p. 137 |
| Outlier Detection and Analysis | p. 139 |
| Visual Field Test | p. 139 |
| Outlier Detection | p. 141 |
| Self-Organising Maps (SOM) | p. 141 |
| Applications of SOM | p. 142 |
| Outlier Analysis by Modelling `Real Measurements' | p. 143 |
| Outlier Analysis by Modelling Noisy Data | p. 145 |
| Noise Model I: Noise Definition | p. 145 |
| Noise Model II: Construction | p. 146 |
| Noise Elimination | p. 147 |
| Concluding Remarks | p. 147 |
| References | p. 148 |
| New Directions in Text Categorization | p. 151 |
| Introduction | p. 151 |
| Machine Learning for Text Classification | p. 153 |
| Radial Basis Functions and the Bard | p. 156 |
| An Evolutionary Algorithm for Text Classification | p. 158 |
| Text Classification by Vocabulary Richness | p. 161 |
| Text Classification with Frequent Function Words | p. 163 |
| Do Authors Have Semantic Signatures? | p. 164 |
| Syntax with Style | p. 166 |
| Intermezzo | p. 167 |
| Some Methods of Textual Feature-Finding | p. 168 |
| Progressive Pairwise Chunking | p. 169 |
| Monte Carlo Feature Finding | p. 170 |
| How Long Is a Piece of Substring? | p. 173 |
| Comparative Testing | p. 175 |
| Which Methods Work Best? - A Benchmarking Study | p. 177 |
| Discussion | p. 180 |
| In Praise of Semi-Crude Bayesianism | p. 180 |
| What's So Special About Linguistic Data? | p. 180 |
| References | p. 181 |
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