List of Figures | p. xiii |
List of Tables | p. xv |
Preface | p. xvii |
Introduction | p. 1 |
Introduction | p. 3 |
Complexity in Social Worlds | p. 9 |
The Standing Ovation Problem | p. 10 |
What's the Buzz? | p. 14 |
Stay Cool | p. 14 |
Attack of the Killer Bees | p. 15 |
Averaging Out Average Behavior | p. 16 |
A Tale of Two Cities | p. 17 |
Adding Complexity | p. 20 |
New Directions | p. 26 |
Complex Social Worlds Redux | p. 27 |
Questioning Complexity | p. 27 |
Preliminaries | p. 33 |
Modeling | p. 35 |
Models as Maps | p. 36 |
A More Formal Approach to Modeling | p. 38 |
Modeling Complex Systems | p. 40 |
Modeling Modeling | p. 42 |
On Emergence | p. 44 |
A Theory of Emergence | p. 46 |
Beyond Disorganized Complexity | p. 48 |
Feedback and Organized Complexity | p. 50 |
Computational Modeling | p. 55 |
Computation as Theory | p. 57 |
Theory versus Tools | p. 59 |
Physics Envy: A Pseudo-Freudian Analysis | p. 62 |
Computation and Theory | p. 64 |
Computation in Theory | p. 64 |
Computation as Theory | p. 67 |
Objections to Computation as Theory | p. 68 |
Computations Build in Their Results | p. 69 |
Computations Lack Discipline | p. 70 |
Computational Models Are Only Approximations to Specific Circumstances | p. 71 |
Computational Models Are Brittle | p. 72 |
Computational Models Are Hard to Test | p. 73 |
Computational Models Are Hard to Understand | p. 76 |
New Directions | p. 76 |
Why Agent-Based Objects? | p. 78 |
Flexibility versus Precision | p. 78 |
Process Oriented | p. 80 |
Adaptive Agents | p. 81 |
Inherently Dynamic | p. 83 |
Heterogeneous Agents and Asymmetry | p. 84 |
Scalability | p. 85 |
Repeatable and Recoverable | p. 86 |
Constructive | p. 86 |
Low Cost | p. 87 |
Economic E. coli (E. coni?) | p. 88 |
Models of Complex Adaptive Social Systems | p. 91 |
A Basic Framework | p. 93 |
The Eightfold Way | p. 93 |
Right View | p. 94 |
Right Intention | p. 95 |
Right Speech | p. 96 |
Right Action | p. 96 |
Right Livelihood | p. 97 |
Right Effort | p. 98 |
Right Mindfulness | p. 100 |
Right Concentration | p. 101 |
Smoke and Mirrors: The Forest Fire Model | p. 102 |
A Simple Model of Forest Fires | p. 102 |
Fixed, Homogeneous Rules | p. 102 |
Homogeneous Adaptation | p. 104 |
Heterogeneous Adaptation | p. 105 |
Adding More Intelligence: Internal Models | p. 107 |
Omniscient Closure | p. 108 |
Banks | p. 109 |
Eight Folding into One | p. 110 |
Conclusion | p. 113 |
Complex Adaptive Social Systems in One Dimension | p. 114 |
Cellular Automata | p. 115 |
Social Cellular Automata | p. 119 |
Socially Acceptable Rules | p. 120 |
Majority Rules | p. 124 |
The Zen of Mistakes in Majority Rule | p. 128 |
The Edge of Chaos | p. 129 |
Is There an Edge? | p. 130 |
Computation at the Edge of Chaos | p. 137 |
The Edge of Robustness | p. 139 |
Social Dynamics | p. 141 |
A Roving Agent | p. 141 |
Segregation | p. 143 |
The Beach Problem | p. 146 |
City Formation | p. 151 |
Networks | p. 154 |
Majority Rule and Network Structures | p. 158 |
Schelling's Segregation Model and Network Structures | p. 163 |
Self-Organized Criticality and Power Laws | p. 165 |
The Sand Pile Model | p. 167 |
A Minimalist Sand Pile | p. 169 |
Fat-Tailed Avalanches | p. 171 |
Purposive Agents | p. 175 |
The Forest Fire Model Redux | p. 176 |
Criticality in Social Systems | p. 177 |
Evolving Automata | p. 178 |
Agent Behavior | p. 178 |
Adaptation | p. 180 |
A Taxonomy of 2 x 2 Games | p. 185 |
Methodology | p. 187 |
Results | p. 189 |
Games Theory: One Agent, Many Games | p. 191 |
Evolving Communication | p. 192 |
Results | p. 194 |
Furthering Communication | p. 197 |
The Full Monty | p. 198 |
Some Fundamentals of Organizational Decision Making | p. 200 |
Organizations and Boolean Functions | p. 201 |
Some Results | p. 203 |
Do Organizations Just Find Solvable Problems? | p. 206 |
Imperfection | p. 207 |
Future Directions | p. 210 |
Conclusions | p. 211 |
Social Science in Between | p. 213 |
Some Contributions | p. 214 |
The Interest in Between | p. 218 |
In between Simple and Strategic Behavior | p. 219 |
In between Pairs and Infinities of Agents | p. 221 |
In between Equilibrium and Chaos | p. 222 |
In between Richness and Rigor | p. 223 |
In between Anarchy and Control | p. 225 |
Here Be Dragons | p. 225 |
Epilogue | p. 227 |
Interest in Between | p. 227 |
Social Complexity | p. 228 |
The Faraway Nearby | p. 230 |
Appendixes | |
An Open Agenda For Complex Adaptive Social Systems | p. 231 |
Whither Complexity | p. 231 |
What Does it Take for a System to Exhibit Complex Behavior? | p. 233 |
Is There an Objective Basis for Recognizing Emergence and Complexity? | p. 233 |
Is There a Mathematics of Complex Adaptive Social Systems? | p. 234 |
What Mechanisms Exist for Tuning the Performance of Complex Systems? | p. 235 |
Do Productive Complex Systems Have Unusual Properties? | p. 235 |
Do Social Systems Become More Complex over Time | p. 236 |
What Makes a System Robust? | p. 236 |
Causality in Complex Systems? | p. 237 |
When Does Coevolution Work? | p. 237 |
When Does Updating Matter? | p. 238 |
When Does Heterogeneity Matter? | p. 238 |
How Sophisticated Must Agents Be Before They Are Interesting? | p. 239 |
What Are the Equivalence Classes of Adaptive Behavior? | p. 240 |
When Does Adaptation Lead to Optimization and Equilibrium? | p. 241 |
How Important Is Communication to Complex Adaptive Social Systems? | p. 242 |
How Do Decentralized Markets Equilibrate? | p. 243 |
When Do Organizations Arise? | p. 243 |
What Are the Origins of Social Life? | p. 244 |
Practices for Computational Modeling | p. 245 |
Keep the Model Simple | p. 246 |
Focus on the Science, Not the Computer | p. 246 |
The Old Computer Test | p. 247 |
Avoid Black Boxes | p. 247 |
Nest Your Models | p. 248 |
Have Tunable Dials | p. 248 |
Construct Flexible Frameworks | p. 249 |
Create Multiple Implementations | p. 249 |
Check the Parameters | p. 250 |
Document Code | p. 250 |
Know the Source of Random Numbers | p. 251 |
Beware of Debugging Bias | p. 251 |
Write Good Code | p. 251 |
Avoid False Precision | p. 252 |
Distribute Your Code | p. 253 |
Keep a Lab Notebook | p. 253 |
Prove Your Results | p. 253 |
Reward the Right Things | p. 254 |
Bibliography | p. 255 |
Index | p. 261 |
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