Distressed Debt Analysis
Strategies for Speculative Investors
By:Â Stephen Moyer
Hardcover | 1 November 2004
At a Glance
448 Pages
22.9 x 15.2 x 3.0
Hardcover
$251.50
or 4 interest-free payments of $62.88 with
 orÂAims to ship in 10 to 15 business days
Notes on Style | p. xiii |
Acknowledgments | p. xiv |
About the Author | p. xv |
Web Added Value | p. xvi |
Introduction | p. 1 |
An Example of a Distressed Debt Situation | p. 2 |
What Is Distressed Debt? | p. 6 |
Investing in Distressed Debt | p. 8 |
The Distressed Debt Investment Opportunity | p. 13 |
Financial Restructurings in the 2000-2003 Era | p. 14 |
Precursors to Default | p. 22 |
Economic Performance | p. 23 |
Relative Quantity of Low-Rated Bonds | p. 25 |
Capital Markets Liquidity | p. 28 |
Market Conditions That Permit Superior Returns | p. 32 |
Equal Access to Information | p. 33 |
Rational Behavior | p. 35 |
Low Transaction Costs | p. 39 |
Summary | p. 41 |
Conceptual Overview of Financial Distress and the Restructuring Process | p. 43 |
A Simple Model of the Firm | p. 43 |
Extensions of the Basic Model | p. 45 |
A Conceptual View of Financial Distress | p. 49 |
How Restructurings Attempt to "Fix" the Distress | p. 52 |
Summary | p. 53 |
Legal Overview of Distressed Debt Restructurings | p. 55 |
Out-of-Court Restructurings: The Preferred Option When Effective and Feasible | p. 56 |
The Financial Effects of an Out-of-Court Restructuring | p. 56 |
The Out-of-Court Restructuring Process | p. 59 |
Parties Involved | p. 59 |
Strategic Considerations in Participating on the Bondholder Committee | p. 61 |
Beginning the Process | p. 64 |
Implementing the Restructuring | p. 67 |
Feasibility: The Holdout Problem | p. 68 |
Summary | p. 70 |
In-Court Restructurings: An Overview of the Bankruptcy Process | p. 71 |
Declaring Bankruptcy | p. 72 |
Jurisdiction of Filing | p. 73 |
Timing of Filing | p. 73 |
The Goal: The Plan of Reorganization | p. 76 |
The Role of Exclusivity and Prefiling Coordination | p. 76 |
Content and Structure of the Plan | p. 78 |
Operating Under Chapter 11 | p. 80 |
Stabilizing Operations | p. 80 |
Developing a Going-Forward Business Plan | p. 83 |
Determining the Assets and Liabilities | p. 84 |
Determining the Valuation and the New Capital Structure | p. 87 |
Voting on and Confirming a Plan of Reorganization | p. 89 |
Summary | p. 92 |
Overview of the Valuation Process | p. 95 |
The Basics of Cash-Flow-Based Valuation | p. 96 |
Using EBITDA as a Measure of Cash Flow | p. 96 |
Understanding and Adjusting EBITDA | p. 97 |
Limitations of EBITDA | p. 102 |
Comparing Discounted Cash Flow and EBITDA Multiple Approaches | p. 103 |
Comparable Company Analysis Based on Enterprise Value | p. 104 |
Calculating Enterprise Value | p. 105 |
Determining the Correct Multiple | p. 109 |
Using Comparable Company Analysis | p. 112 |
Alternatives to the EBITDA Multiple Approach | p. 114 |
Revenue-Based Valuations | p. 115 |
Asset-Based Valuations | p. 115 |
Customer-Based Valuations | p. 116 |
Liquidation Valuations | p. 117 |
Summary | p. 117 |
Leverage and the Concepts of Credit Support and Capacity | p. 119 |
The Interrelationship of Credit Risk and Credit Support | p. 119 |
Credit Risk | p. 120 |
Credit Support | p. 120 |
Credit Capacity | p. 121 |
Credit Capacity as Measured by Debt Repayment Ability | p. 123 |
Stable Cash Flow Scenarios | p. 123 |
Volatile Cash Flow Scenarios | p. 126 |
Debt Capacity Under Alternative Criteria | p. 129 |
Asset Coverage | p. 129 |
Ability to Refinance | p. 132 |
Interest Expense Coverage | p. 133 |
Capital Instruments Designed to "Avoid" Credit Capacity Criteria | p. 134 |
Exchangeable Preferred Stock | p. 135 |
Convertible Bonds | p. 135 |
Discount Notes and Payment-in-Kind Notes | p. 135 |
Summary | p. 136 |
Capital Structures and the Allocation and Management of Credit Risk | p. 139 |
Using Corporate and Capital Structures to Allocate Credit Risk | p. 141 |
Grants of Collateral | p. 142 |
Contractual Provisions | p. 142 |
Maturity Structure | p. 144 |
Corporate Structure | p. 146 |
How Capital Structures Manage Credit Risk | p. 149 |
Leverage | p. 151 |
Priority | p. 151 |
Restricted Payments | p. 151 |
Negative Pledge Clauses | p. 156 |
Time | p. 157 |
Performance Covenants | p. 157 |
Put Rights | p. 158 |
Forced Call in the Event of a Downgrade | p. 158 |
Performance-Linked Pricing Provisions | p. 159 |
Summary | p. 160 |
Causes of Financial Distress and the Restructuring Implications | p. 163 |
Indicators of Financial Distress | p. 163 |
Debt Ratings | p. 164 |
Predictive Models | p. 166 |
Market Prices | p. 167 |
Causes of Financial Distress | p. 168 |
Performance Materially Below Expectation | p. 169 |
Economic Downturn | p. 169 |
Uncompetitive Product or Service | p. 170 |
Unrealistic Business Plan | p. 172 |
Poor Management | p. 174 |
Near-Term Liquidity Issues | p. 177 |
Bank Debt Scenarios | p. 177 |
No Bank Debt Scenarios | p. 178 |
Unexpected Liabilities | p. 180 |
Tort Claims | p. 180 |
Contract Liabilities | p. 181 |
Crisis of Confidence: Fraud and Other Events That Create Financial Uncertainty | p. 183 |
Reliability of Historical Financial Data and Valuation Issues | p. 184 |
Liquidity and the Likelihood of Bankruptcy | p. 185 |
Summary | p. 187 |
Options for Alleviating Financial Distress: The Company's Perspective | p. 189 |
Properly Assessing the Distressed Firm's Likely Actions Is Key to Assessing the Investment Outcomes | p. 190 |
Playing the Waiting Game | p. 190 |
Between a Rock and a Hard Place | p. 194 |
Summary | p. 198 |
Strategic Options to Resolve Financial Distress Outside Bankruptcy | p. 200 |
Raise Additional Capital | p. 200 |
Asset Sales | p. 201 |
Secured Financings | p. 202 |
Sale/Leaseback Financings | p. 204 |
Equity Sponsors | p. 204 |
Reducing Leverage | p. 207 |
Open Market Repurchases | p. 207 |
Direct Purchases from Holders | p. 207 |
Cash Tender Offers | p. 208 |
Exchange Offers | p. 211 |
Coercive Exchange Offers | p. 211 |
Noncoercive Exchange Offers | p. 212 |
Constraints on the Range of Options | p. 213 |
Liquidity | p. 213 |
Time-to-Liquidity Event | p. 213 |
Magnitude of Problem | p. 214 |
Complexity of Capital Structure | p. 214 |
Severability of Business Units | p. 215 |
Cause(s) of Financial Distress | p. 215 |
Strategies When Bankruptcy Appears Necessary | p. 215 |
Maintaining Liquidity | p. 215 |
Preplanned Filings | p. 216 |
Summary | p. 217 |
Profiting from Financial Distress: The Investor's Perspective | p. 219 |
Defining the Investment Objectives | p. 220 |
Tailoring a Strategy to the Investment Objectives | p. 221 |
Non-Chapter 11 Situations | p. 222 |
Passive Involvement | p. 222 |
Active Involvement | p. 224 |
Chapter 11 Situations | p. 228 |
Feasibility Considerations | p. 238 |
Capital Structure | p. 238 |
Market Versus True Valuation | p. 240 |
Market Liquidity/Concentration of Holdings | p. 241 |
Other Distressed Investors | p. 241 |
Bank Debt | p. 242 |
Large Block Holders of Public Debt | p. 242 |
Hedging and Capital Structure Arbitrage | p. 242 |
Return Potential of Capital Structure Arbitrage | p. 243 |
Common Capital Structure Arbitrage Trades | p. 249 |
Pari Passu Securities with Different Maturities | p. 250 |
Senior Versus Junior Securities | p. 252 |
Bonds Versus Equity | p. 254 |
Summary | p. 256 |
Practical Aspects of the Investment Process and Due Diligence | p. 257 |
Practical Realities of the Investment Analysis Process | p. 258 |
Screening Situations to Prioritize Opportunities | p. 258 |
Reacting to Volatile Situations | p. 260 |
A Time-Efficient Valuation Methodology | p. 260 |
Performing Due Diligence | p. 262 |
Diligence Cost-Benefit Analysis | p. 262 |
Prioritizing the Diligence Issues | p. 263 |
Financial Due Diligence | p. 267 |
Basic Goals of Financial Due Diligence | p. 267 |
Obtaining Publicly Available Financial Information | p. 268 |
Accessing Management | p. 270 |
Special Valuation Considerations in Financially Distressed Contexts | p. 272 |
Business Deterioration During a Reorganization | p. 272 |
Reorganization Costs | p. 273 |
Critical Vendor Payments | p. 273 |
Cash Accumulation During the Reorganization | p. 275 |
Tax Issues | p. 276 |
Liquidity Implications of a Distressed Firm's Current Tax Status | p. 277 |
Potential Value from Carryforward of Net Operating Losses | p. 279 |
Priority Status of Tax Claims | p. 284 |
Legal Due Diligence | p. 284 |
Obtaining the Relevant Documents | p. 285 |
Checklist of Legal and Bankruptcy-Related Issues to Consider | p. 286 |
Voidable Preferences | p. 287 |
Substantive Consolidation | p. 287 |
Structural Advantages | p. 288 |
Equitable Subordination | p. 289 |
Zone of Insolvency | p. 292 |
Special Considerations When Investing in Claims That Are Not Negotiable Instruments | p. 292 |
Recent Developments Under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 | p. 295 |
Mechanics of Accumulating the Investment | p. 296 |
Investment Strategy and Market Environment Drive Accumulation Approach | p. 297 |
Consummating the Trade | p. 300 |
Firm Market | p. 302 |
No Market or Above-Market Offering | p. 303 |
Settling the Trade | p. 304 |
Bank Debt | p. 305 |
Holder Identity | p. 305 |
Settlement | p. 305 |
Special Considerations for Revolving Loans | p. 306 |
Summary | p. 307 |
Dynamics of the Workout Process: The Endgame | p. 309 |
The Parties | p. 310 |
The Debtor | p. 310 |
Debtor's Bankruptcy Counsel | p. 311 |
Debtor's Financial Advisor | p. 311 |
The Committee | p. 311 |
Committee Legal Counsel | p. 313 |
Committee Financial Advisor | p. 314 |
The Secured Creditors | p. 314 |
The Bankruptcy Judge | p. 315 |
Types of Chapter 11 Cases | p. 316 |
Preplanned Restructuring | p. 318 |
Full Prepack | p. 318 |
Prenegotiated Filings | p. 320 |
Asset Sales | p. 321 |
Sales Intended to Enhance Recoveries by Maximizing Estate Value | p. 322 |
Sales Designed to Maximize Creditor Recoveries | p. 326 |
Free-Fall and Contested Chapter 11 Reorganizations | p. 326 |
Sources of Leverage in the Chapter 11 Process | p. 327 |
Delay | p. 328 |
Management and the Right of Exclusivity | p. 329 |
Creditors and the Threat of Litigation | p. 331 |
Priority | p. 332 |
Secured Creditors | p. 335 |
Valuation | p. 336 |
Voting and Confirmation | p. 339 |
Voting | p. 339 |
Confirmation | p. 341 |
Summary | p. 346 |
Postreorganization Considerations | p. 349 |
Postreorganization Equities | p. 350 |
Size of Expected or Probable Market Capitalization | p. 350 |
Postreorganization Trading Float | p. 352 |
Forced Sellers | p. 353 |
Company Profile | p. 354 |
Postconfirmation Lockups | p. 355 |
Tax-Based Trading Restrictions | p. 356 |
Warrants | p. 356 |
Trading Performance of Back-End Equities | p. 356 |
Postreorganization Debt Securities | p. 359 |
Liquidating Trusts | p. 360 |
Summary | p. 365 |
Endotes | p. 367 |
Literature Survey and Selected References | p. 405 |
Chess Notation and Game Moves | p. 433 |
Disclosure of Possible Conflicts of Interest | p. 435 |
Index | p. 437 |
Table of Contents provided by Rittenhouse. All Rights Reserved. |
ISBN: 9781932159189
ISBN-10: 1932159185
Series: J Ross Publishing
Published: 1st November 2004
Format: Hardcover
Language: English
Number of Pages: 448
Audience: Professional and Scholarly
Publisher: J Ross Publishing
Country of Publication: US
Dimensions (cm): 22.9 x 15.2 x 3.0
Weight (kg): 0.73
Shipping
Standard Shipping | Express Shipping | |
---|---|---|
Metro postcodes: | $9.99 | $14.95 |
Regional postcodes: | $9.99 | $14.95 |
Rural postcodes: | $9.99 | $14.95 |
How to return your order
At Booktopia, we offer hassle-free returns in accordance with our returns policy. If you wish to return an item, please get in touch with Booktopia Customer Care.
Additional postage charges may be applicable.
Defective items
If there is a problem with any of the items received for your order then the Booktopia Customer Care team is ready to assist you.
For more info please visit our Help Centre.
You Can Find This Book In
Rethink Property Investing, Fully Updated and Revised Edition
Become Financially Free with Commercial Property Investing
Paperback
RRP $32.95
$27.25
OFF
The Little Book of Common Sense Investing
The Only Way to Guarantee Your Fair Share of Stock Market Returns
Hardcover
RRP $44.95
$36.50
OFF