A renowned complexity scientist promotes a revolution to make economic predictions more scientific, allowing us to build a better world
We live in an age of increasing complexity, where accelerating technology and global interconnection hold more promise - and more peril - than any other time in human history. The fossil fuels that have powered global wealth creation now threaten to destroy the world they helped build. Automation and digitization promise prosperity for some, unemployment for others. Financial crises fuel growing inequality, polarization and the retreat of democracy. At heart, all these problems are rooted in the economy, yet the guidance provided by economic models has often failed.
Many books have been written about Doyne Farmer and his work, but Making Sense of Chaos is the first in his own words. It presents a manifesto for how to do economics better. A tale of science and ideas, Farmer fuses his profound knowledge and expertise with stories from his life to explain how we can bring a scientific revolution to bear on the economic conundrums facing society.
Using big data and ever more powerful computers, we are now able for the first time to apply complex systems science to economic activity, building realistic models of the global economy. The resulting simulations and the emergent behavior we observe form the cornerstone of the science of complexity economics, allowing us to test ideas and make significantly better economic predictions - to better address the hard problems facing the world.
Industry Reviews
In this riveting book, Doyne Farmer profoundly unravels the role played by complex systems in our economy. From the time he was living in a tent while working on climate models on the American west, to his more recent years in the hallowed halls of Oxford University, Farmer’s lifelong journey is a testament to the creativity and perseverance needed to succeed in the rugged landscapes of multidisciplinary science
César Hidalgo, Author of Why Information Grows
I can't think of a better person to help us make sense of chaos than one of the founders of the field of chaos theory, J. Doyne Farmer. A physicist by training, but with plenty of financial and economic street cred, Farmer takes on the formidable task of making complexity economics understandable, fascinating, and fun. And he succeeds!
Andrew W. Lo, Author of Adaptive Markets
Standard economics has failed us when it comes to the challenge of climate change, and in this remarkable book Doyne Farmer explains why--and shows that a more complex understanding of how economies work yields insights that can help us see, and build, a workable future. Farmer's insights are more general, extending to all kinds of realms; indeed, it's exciting to sense the intellectual ground being broken here. But it's also of the highest practical importance; heeding his thoughtful counsel offers a path out of the box canyon where we're currently stuck as a species
Bill Mckibben, Author of The End of Nature
Our greatest challenges, such as climate change, force us to move beyond linear thinking to grapple with their complexities. Doyne Farmer’s book shows us how to do so, bringing some clarity to the chaos. I gobbled it up – I hope it gets into the hands (and heads) of those who want to understand our most pressing problems and work towards solving them
Hannah Ritchie, Author of Not the End of The World
After 2008, everybody except conventional economists seemed to realise that conventional economics is failing us. I applaud this bold and exciting new approach, born out of the 21st century rather than the 19th. It’s about time!
BRIAN ENO
unpicks why standard economic approaches often fail – and presents a radical alternative
Thomas Lewton, New Scientist
