Preface | p. ix |
Prelude | p. 1 |
The Scientific Method | p. 3 |
Edwin Smith papyrus | p. 3 |
Greek philosophy (4th century BC) | p. 4 |
Islamic philosophy (8th century AD-15th century AD) | p. 6 |
European Science (12th century AD-16th century AD) | p. 7 |
Scientific Revolution (1543 AD-18th century AD) | p. 9 |
Humanism and Empiricism | p. 13 |
The Scientific Method | p. 15 |
Application of the Scientific Method to Everyday Problem | p. 16 |
Observation | p. 17 |
External information | p. 21 |
Missed information | p. 21 |
Misinformation | p. 22 |
Hidden information | p. 27 |
No information | p. 32 |
Unaware information | p. 35 |
Evidence-based information | p. 37 |
Internal information | p. 37 |
Self-denied information | p. 38 |
Biased information | p. 39 |
Unexploited information | p. 40 |
Peripheral information | p. 42 |
Hypothesis | p. 45 |
Abduction | p. 55 |
Wild conjectures | p. 57 |
Albert Einstein | p. 61 |
Experiment | p. 65 |
Experiment versus hypothesis | p. 79 |
Platonic, Aristotelian, Baconian, and Galilean methodology | p. 81 |
Recognition | p. 83 |
John Nash | p. 92 |
Problem Situation and Problem Definition | p. 97 |
Perspectives on different levels | p. 97 |
Perspectives on the same level | p. 98 |
Induction and Deduction | p. 107 |
Induction | p. 107 |
Deduction | p. 110 |
Alternative Solutions | p. 119 |
Lotion bottle with a pump dispenser | p. 137 |
Relation | p. 139 |
Creativity | p. 149 |
Ordinary thinking | p. 150 |
Creative thinking | p. 151 |
Knowledge | p. 151 |
Insight | p. 152 |
Unconscious mind | p. 153 |
Double helix | p. 154 |
Genetic material | p. 154 |
Watson and Crick at Cavendish Laboratory, Cambridge | p. 155 |
Rosalind Franklin at King's College, London | p. 158 |
The triple helix model | p. 159 |
The double helix model | p. 161 |
Creative thinking and Ordinary thinking | p. 164 |
Scientific Research and Scientific Method | p. 165 |
Can we be more creative? | p. 166 |
Mathematics | p. 169 |
Probable Value | p. 195 |
Epilogue | p. 209 |
Bibliography | p. 213 |
Index | p. 219 |
List of Tables | p. viii |
List of Figures | p. x |
Foreword | p. xi |
Acknowledgements | p. xv |
Notes on Contributors | p. xvi |
Introduction | p. xix |
Emerging Banking Systems | p. 1 |
Introduction | p. 1 |
Systemic financial crises in the 1990s | p. 2 |
Common characteristics of recent financial crises | p. 6 |
Recovery strategies followed by emerging countries | p. 9 |
The reform of the banking systems of emerging countries | p. 13 |
The role of foreign banks | p. 21 |
Conclusions | p. 26 |
China | p. 34 |
Introduction | p. 34 |
The Chinese economy: an overview | p. 36 |
Structure of the Chinese banking system | p. 39 |
Recent reforms in the Chinese banking sector | p. 41 |
International integration of the Chinese banking system | p. 48 |
Conclusions | p. 53 |
India | p. 56 |
Introduction | p. 56 |
From protectionism to liberalisation | p. 57 |
The bank nationalisation period | p. 58 |
The banking reforms | p. 60 |
The structure of the Indian banking system | p. 65 |
Financial deepening and financial inclusion | p. 71 |
Conclusions | p. 74 |
Indonesia | p. 79 |
Introduction | p. 79 |
The Indonesian economy: a five-step transformation | p. 81 |
The 1997-99 Asian crisis: the onset and the way out | p. 85 |
A bank-oriented financial system | p. 87 |
Recent performance and lingering fragilities of Indonesian banks | p. 92 |
Foreign banks in Indonesia: role and perspectives | p. 97 |
Brazil | p. 101 |
Introduction | p. 101 |
A long-term perspective on Brazilian development | p. 102 |
The Brazilian banking system at the turn of the century | p. 106 |
The Brazilian system at the beginning of the new millennium: an emerging system with some 'anomalies' | p. 111 |
Assessing the stability of the Brazilian banking system | p. 117 |
Conclusions | p. 120 |
North Africa | p. 126 |
The economies of North Africa in the framework of Euro-Mediterranean relations | p. 126 |
Structural profiles of the North African economies | p. 134 |
Recent macroeconomic developments in North Africa | p. 138 |
Structural reforms in North African economies | p. 143 |
International opening | p. 144 |
Institutional framework | p. 146 |
The banking systems of North Africa: quantitative indicators | p. 146 |
The banking systems of North Africa: qualitative profiles | p. 149 |
Stability and efficiency | p. 150 |
Recent reforms | p. 152 |
Privatisations and the role of foreign banks | p. 154 |
Conclusions | p. 155 |
Russia | p. 162 |
Introduction | p. 162 |
The Russian economy: from default to recovery | p. 163 |
From Perestroika to the new millennium: banking reforms a la Russe | p. 165 |
Structure and development of the Russian banking system | p. 168 |
Recent evolutions and perspectives: between dirigisme and opening the market | p. 172 |
Conclusions | p. 178 |
Turkey | p. 183 |
Introduction | p. 183 |
Recent trends in the Turkish economy | p. 184 |
The banking sector in Turkey: a deep change | p. 189 |
Banking in Turkey: risks and opportunities | p. 193 |
Conclusions | p. 199 |
Index | p. 205 |
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