| Preface | p. ix |
| Introduction to Analysis and Modeling | p. 1 |
| Systems Analysis and Model Synthesis | p. 3 |
| Introduction | p. 3 |
| Threefold Nature of the Universe | p. 5 |
| Entropy: Agent of Change | p. 10 |
| Hierarchical Analysis | p. 13 |
| Macro-to-Micro Analysis | p. 17 |
| Analytical Approaches | p. 19 |
| Comparison of Analytical Approaches | p. 28 |
| Exercises | p. 32 |
| Systems Modeling Principles | p. 35 |
| Knowledge-Based Modeling | p. 35 |
| Circumscription Principle | p. 36 |
| Conservation Principle | p. 38 |
| Correspondence Principle | p. 39 |
| Classification of Model Variables | p. 39 |
| Linear Relationships | p. 42 |
| Time Series | p. 45 |
| Calibration Principles | p. 46 |
| Building-Block Principle | p. 49 |
| Exogenous Dynamic Forms | p. 51 |
| Endogenous Dynamic Forms | p. 52 |
| Information Feedback | p. 66 |
| Distortion Reduction | p. 66 |
| Exercises | p. 69 |
| Population Model: Calibration and Validation | p. 75 |
| Introduction | p. 75 |
| Population Knowledge Base | p. 76 |
| Calibration of Population Model | p. 78 |
| Validation | p. 81 |
| Validation of Population Model | p. 84 |
| Error Control | p. 88 |
| Exercises | p. 90 |
| Appendix A | p. 94 |
| Deterministic Models | p. 101 |
| Modeling with Dynamic Forms | p. 103 |
| Harmonic Oscillation Model | p. 103 |
| Polynomial Models | p. 113 |
| Exercises | p. 125 |
| Appendix B | p. 127 |
| Small Arms Exterior Ballistics Model | p. 129 |
| Projectile Knowledge Base | p. 130 |
| Calibration of Ballistics Model | p. 134 |
| Verification and Validation of Model | p. 139 |
| Conclusion and Discussion | p. 143 |
| Exercises | p. 145 |
| Appendix C | p. 147 |
| Inventory Systems Models: Shaping Dynamic Response | p. 149 |
| Inventory Accumulation Model | p. 149 |
| Inventory Reduction Model | p. 152 |
| Model of an Ideal Inventory System | p. 154 |
| Order Delay Model | p. 159 |
| Random Demand Model | p. 162 |
| Order Policy Model | p. 168 |
| Three-Policy Model | p. 171 |
| Exercises | p. 175 |
| Appendix D | p. 179 |
| Modeling Corporate Assets | p. 185 |
| Introduction | p. 185 |
| Asset Growth Model | p. 186 |
| Corporate Assets Planning Model | p. 192 |
| Exercises | p. 204 |
| Appendix E | p. 206 |
| Stochastic Models | p. 209 |
| Stochastic Analysis | p. 211 |
| Introduction | p. 211 |
| Stochastic Representation | p. 212 |
| Modeling Stochastic Processes | p. 215 |
| Trend Analysis | p. 219 |
| Knowledge Acquisition via Inference Matrix | p. 222 |
| Regression Analysis | p. 224 |
| Exercises | p. 225 |
| Work Physiology Model | p. 229 |
| Introduction | p. 229 |
| Systems Analysis | p. 231 |
| Knowledge Base | p. 231 |
| Generic Model | p. 233 |
| Calibration and Validation | p. 235 |
| Conclusions and Comments | p. 245 |
| Exercises | p. 246 |
| Appendix F | p. 248 |
| Macro Model of Blue Glacier | p. 255 |
| Introduction | p. 255 |
| Systems Analysis of Blue Glacier | p. 256 |
| Knowledge Base | p. 256 |
| Calibration | p. 258 |
| Model Validation | p. 260 |
| Static Relationships | p. 262 |
| Further Modeling | p. 265 |
| Exercises | p. 265 |
| Appendix G | p. 267 |
| State Water Planning Model | p. 269 |
| Introduction | p. 269 |
| Systems Analysis of Yellowstone River Basin | p. 272 |
| Knowledge Base | p. 273 |
| Calibration | p. 277 |
| Model Validation | p. 283 |
| Exercises | p. 290 |
| Appendix H | p. 292 |
| Prototyping A Forest Systems Model | p. 301 |
| Introduction | p. 301 |
| Knowledge Base | p. 303 |
| Calibration | p. 308 |
| Model Validation | p. 313 |
| Concluding Remarks | p. 320 |
| Exercises | p. 321 |
| Appendix I | p. 323 |
| Applications Unlimited | p. 325 |
| Introduction | p. 325 |
| Virtual Manufacturing | p. 325 |
| Time Series Synthesis | p. 331 |
| Optimization | p. 338 |
| Large-Scale Systems | p. 340 |
| Exercises | p. 342 |
| Appendix J | p. 344 |
| References | p. 347 |
| Glossary | p. 351 |
| Index | p. 361 |
| Table of Contents provided by Syndetics. All Rights Reserved. |
