The Development of Panel Studies of Delinquency | p. 1 |
Introduction | p. 1 |
Panel Studies of Crime and Delinquency | p. 3 |
Common Elements | p. 3 |
Diversity of Panel Studies | p. 4 |
Limitations of Panel Studies | p. 5 |
Taking Stock | p. 6 |
Causes and Consequences of Delinquency: Findings from the Rochester Youth Development Study | p. 11 |
Introduction | p. 11 |
Theoretical Framework | p. 12 |
Interactional Theory | p. 12 |
Social Network Theory | p. 15 |
Design of the Rochester Youth Development Study | p. 16 |
Sample | p. 16 |
Subject Retention | p. 17 |
Measurement | p. 18 |
Analytic Themes | p. 19 |
Family and Delinquency | p. 20 |
Maltreatment and Delinquency | p. 24 |
School and Delinquency | p. 26 |
Peers, Beliefs, and Delinquency | p. 28 |
Social Networks and Delinquent Behavior | p. 29 |
The Impact of Structural Position | p. 34 |
Long-Term Developmental Effects | p. 36 |
Violence | p. 39 |
Youth and Guns | p. 39 |
Future Directions | p. 41 |
Intergenerational Transmission of Antisocial Behavior | p. 41 |
Adult Transitions | p. 42 |
Delinquency and Crime: Some Highlights from the Denver Youth Survey | p. 47 |
Introduction | p. 47 |
Epidemiology of Delinquency, Drug Use, and Victimization | p. 50 |
Over-Time Changes in Delinquency and Drug Use: The 1970's and the 1990's | p. 50 |
Epidemiology: Age, Gender, and Ethnicity | p. 52 |
Age of Initiation and Subsequent Delinquency | p. 53 |
The Intermittency of Serious and Violent Offending | p. 55 |
Victimization | p. 55 |
The Co-Occurrence or Overlap of Problem Behaviors | p. 56 |
Peers and Delinquent Gangs | p. 63 |
Delinquent Gangs | p. 63 |
Peers, Gangs, and Co-Offending | p. 68 |
Explanatory, Risk, and Protective Factors | p. 70 |
Risk and Protective Factors for Successful Adolescence | p. 70 |
Multiple Etiological Pathways to Delinquency | p. 73 |
Developmental and Gender Differences in Explanatory Models | p. 75 |
Intergenerational Transmission of Delinquency and Drug Use | p. 76 |
Neighborhoods and Problem Behavior | p. 77 |
Arrest and Imprisonment | p. 79 |
The Impact of Arrest | p. 79 |
Initiation of Violent Offending and Age at First Arrest | p. 81 |
Adolescent Precursors to Young Adult Imprisonment | p. 82 |
Help-Seeking for Psychological Behavior Problems | p. 83 |
Some Final Comments and Plans for the Future | p. 85 |
The Development of Male Offending: Key Findings from Fourteen Years of the Pittsburgh Youth Study | p. 93 |
Introduction | p. 93 |
Design and Methods | p. 96 |
Participants | p. 96 |
Measures | p. 97 |
Development of Offending | p. 100 |
Prevalence, Frequency, and Onset | p. 100 |
Prevalence of Delinquency in Court Records | p. 102 |
Victimization | p. 103 |
Concentration of Offending in Families | p. 103 |
Development of Delinquency, Aggression, and Violence | p. 104 |
Developmental Pathways | p. 105 |
Risk and Protective Factors | p. 108 |
Child Risk Factors | p. 108 |
Family Factors | p. 114 |
Peer Factors | p. 115 |
Macro Factors | p. 116 |
Cumulative Effects of Risk and Protective (Promotive) Factors | p. 121 |
Predictors of Violence | p. 122 |
Predictors of Desistance | p. 124 |
Co-Occurrence of Problem Behaviors and Delinquency | p. 124 |
Help Seeking | p. 126 |
Delinquency Seriousness | p. 126 |
Court Contact | p. 127 |
Conclusions and Future Priorities | p. 128 |
Theoretical Considerations | p. 128 |
Future Research | p. 130 |
Key Results from the First Forty Years of the Cambridge Study in Delinquent Development | p. 137 |
Introduction | p. 137 |
Methods | p. 137 |
Aims | p. 137 |
Characteristics of the Sample | p. 138 |
Data Collected at Different Ages | p. 139 |
Tracing and Securing Cooperation | p. 140 |
Criminal Careers | p. 142 |
Natural History of Offending | p. 142 |
Offending by Family Members | p. 142 |
Persistence in Offending | p. 143 |
Replication of Criminal Career Results | p. 144 |
Co-Offending and Motives | p. 145 |
Self-Reported Offending | p. 146 |
Mathematical Models of Criminal Careers | p. 147 |
Risk Factors for Offending | p. 148 |
Childhood Risk Factors | p. 148 |
Mechanisms and Processes | p. 150 |
Independent Predictors | p. 151 |
Predicting Persisters | p. 154 |
Offending and Antisocial Behavior | p. 155 |
Antisocial Behavior at Age 18 | p. 155 |
Antisocial Behavior at Age 32 | p. 156 |
The Antisocial Personality Syndrome | p. 157 |
Truancy and Physical Health | p. 158 |
Aggression and Violence | p. 158 |
Continuity in Aggression | p. 158 |
Predictors of Aggression and Violence | p. 159 |
Accuracy of Prediction | p. 160 |
Life Events and Protective Factors | p. 161 |
Effects of Life Events | p. 161 |
Factors Encouraging Desistance | p. 162 |
Protective Factors | p. 163 |
Explaining the Development of Delinquency | p. 164 |
The Farrington Theory | p. 165 |
Other Issues | p. 168 |
Limitations of the Study | p. 168 |
Policy Implications | p. 170 |
Current Research and Future Plans | p. 172 |
Conclusion | p. 174 |
Testing an Integrative Theory of Deviant Behavior: Theory-Syntonic Findings from a Long-Term Multi-Generation Study | p. 185 |
Introduction | p. 185 |
An Integrative Theory of Deviant Behavior | p. 185 |
Data Sources | p. 189 |
Analyses and Results | p. 191 |
Direct Linear Relationships | p. 192 |
Mediating Variables | p. 193 |
Moderating Influences | p. 197 |
Conclusion | p. 202 |
The Montreal Longitudinal and Experimental Study: Rediscovering the Power of Descriptions | p. 205 |
Aims and Design of the Study | p. 205 |
Key Findings | p. 210 |
Kindergarten Disruptive Behavior Predicts Delinquency During the Transition from Childhood to Early Adolescence | p. 210 |
Kindergarten Personality Predicts Delinquency During the Transition from Childhood to Adolescence | p. 211 |
Biological Correlates of Delinquency | p. 215 |
Family Poverty, Family Structure, Parenting Process, and School Failure as Predictors of Delinquency | p. 217 |
Deviant Friends During Pre-Adolescence and Early Delinquency | p. 220 |
Developmental Trajectories to Physically Violent and Nonviolent Juvenile Deliquency | p. 224 |
A Preventive Experiment to Test Causal Hypotheses and Identify Effective Interventions | p. 230 |
Beyond the MLES | p. 236 |
Conclusion | p. 241 |
Understanding and Preventing Crime and Violence: Findings from the Seattle Social Development Project | p. 255 |
Introduction | p. 255 |
Sample Description, Interventions, and Participation | p. 256 |
Data Set Description | p. 257 |
Methodological Issues: Intervention Effects | p. 260 |
Prevalence, Frequency, and Onset of Offending in the SSDP Sample | p. 260 |
Dimensions of Criminal Careers in the SSDP Sample | p. 260 |
Trajectories of Offending | p. 265 |
The Structure of Deviance | p. 267 |
General Deviance Theory and Dimensions of Problem Behavior | p. 267 |
Dimensions of Problem Behavior in African American and European American Adolescents | p. 268 |
Tracking Progressions of Problem Behavior | p. 269 |
Predictors of Violence and Delinquency | p. 270 |
Tests of the Social Development Model | p. 279 |
Intervention Effects on Delinquent Behaviors and Social Development Constructs | p. 284 |
Program Goals and Rationale | p. 284 |
Study Design | p. 285 |
Intervention Program Description | p. 286 |
Effects on Problem Behaviors and Social Development Constructs | p. 288 |
Measuring SDM Mediators in the Intervention Study | p. 292 |
Summary | p. 300 |
Common Themes, Future Directions | p. 313 |
Different Designs | p. 314 |
Similar Results | p. 315 |
The Developmental Pattern of Delinquency | p. 316 |
Parents, School, Peers, and Social Structure | p. 316 |
Life-Course Transitions | p. 318 |
Unexpected Results | p. 319 |
General Conclusions | p. 321 |
The Impact of Deviant Behavior | p. 321 |
Continuity and Change | p. 322 |
Future Directions | p. 323 |
A Final Word | p. 325 |
Index | p. 327 |
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